Real estate assets associated with loans to developers throughout the Spanish financial system are worth a total of 323 billion euros (at 30 June 2011), of which 175 billion fall into the category of problematic (88 billion in land and ongoing developments and 87 billion in completed developments and delivered homes). The average levels of current coverage of entities over all problematic assets stand at 31% (land), 27% (ongoing developments) and 25% (completed developments and homes).
The uncertainty surrounding the valuation of these assets is one of the factors making it difficult for the entities to access the wholesale financial markets, thus leading to the corresponding reduction of credit for financing the private sector of the economy.
It is therefore essential to clarify the situation and obtain a valuation of these assets that is more in line with the market.
With this objective in mind, additional reorganisation processes will be undertaken for a value of 50 billion euros through new capital provisions and safety nets. Those entities that participate in merger processes (consolidation) will be in a more flexible position to adapt to the new framework. The goal is to adjust the excess capacity that exists in the sector as a whole and for that to improve the efficiency of the new entities. In short, there will be fewer entities but they will be better organised.
A specific provision is planned for problematic assets (an extraordinary amount charged to results) amounting to approximately 25 billion euros. A safety net of 20% for land assets and 15% for ongoing developments is also planned, which will be charged to non-distributed profits, capital increases or the conversion of hybrids (preferentials, convertible bonds, subordinate debt, etc.) for an estimated amount of approximately 15 billion euros.
As for non-problematic assets associated with property development, a general provision of 7% is planned to cover a possible deterioration in the future given that they represent a greater risk than the rest of the credit portfolio. This provision will be made against results and is estimated at approximately 10 billion euros. The deadline for implementing the specific provision, the general provision and the capital provision will be 31 December 2012.
Following the reform, the specific provisions plus the capital safety net will cover 80% of problematic assets (31% until now) in the case of land, 65% in the case of ongoing promotions (previously 27%) and 35% in the case of completed developments and homes (previously 25%).
The total sum of the reorganisation, considering the provisions and the capital safety net, will amount to 50 billion euros. This is an extraordinary sum and will therefore only be called for once. It is a highly substantial reorganisation effort given that the effort made by the Spanish banking sector between 2008 and 2011 (with specific provisions) amounted to 66 billion euros in total.